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Up
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$94.14
Combined PnL
-$24.91
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares62
Combined PnL-$58.84
Down3 traders
Total Value$94.14
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$33.93
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $48.96 | — | -$48.96 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $41.82 | $50.91 | +$9.08 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $16.32 | $17.55 | +$1.22 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $2.05 | $25.68 | +$23.63 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $9.88 | — | -$9.88 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$48.96
Value
—
PnL
-$48.96
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$41.82
Value
$50.91
PnL
+$9.08
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.32
Value
$17.55
PnL
+$1.22
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
$25.68
PnL
+$23.63
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$9.88
Value
—
PnL
-$9.88
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe550d716...e85f13
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793047500