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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$20.45
Combined PnL
-$18.52
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$21.5
Up2 traders
Total Value$20.45
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$2.99
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $12.46 | — | -$12.46 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $12.6 | $13.7 | +$1.1 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $4.98 | — | -$4.98 | 58% 11888-8697 (20585) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $4.86 | $6.75 | +$1.89 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$12.46
Value
—
PnL
-$12.46
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
$13.7
PnL
+$1.1
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$4.98
Value
—
PnL
-$4.98
Record
58%
11888-8697 (20585)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$4.86
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$1.89
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f967454...60ca35
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793044200