Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$114.58
$56.04
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 7.6¢ | $4.89 | $64.31 | +$59.42 | 49% 21480-22190 (43670) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $32.68 | $50.27 | +$17.6 | 58% 58691-42804 (101495) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 52% 87230-81412 (168642) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 55% 41532-33955 (75487) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 84% 54657-10104 (64761) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.9¢ | $8.84 | — | -$8.84 | 63% 47908-28533 (76441) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $11.1 | — | -$10.58 | 66% 118108-62171 (180279) |
Invested
$4.89
Value
$64.31
PnL
+$59.42
Record
49%
21480-22190 (43670)
Invested
$32.68
Value
$50.27
PnL
+$17.6
Record
58%
58691-42804 (101495)
Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
52%
87230-81412 (168642)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
55%
41532-33955 (75487)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
84%
54657-10104 (64761)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.84
Value
—
PnL
-$8.84
Record
63%
47908-28533 (76441)
Invested
$11.1
Value
—
PnL
-$10.58
Record
66%
118108-62171 (180279)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $64.31
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $50.27
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0