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wowitsamazingCTR<$100UpUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$28.14
Combined PnL
-$92.13
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares228
Combined PnL-$91.68
Down2 traders
Total Value$28.14
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$0.45
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.2¢ | $49.85 | — | -$49.85 | 58% 12169-8808 (20977) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 60.5¢ | $36.3 | — | -$36.3 | 65% 19899-10832 (30731) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $22.64 | $22.07 | -$0.57 | 52% 87214-81389 (168603) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.6¢ | $5.53 | — | -$5.53 | 63% 47883-28520 (76403) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $5.95 | $6.07 | +$0.12 | 93% 21625-1687 (23312) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.85
Value
—
PnL
-$49.85
Record
58%
12169-8808 (20977)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$36.3
Value
—
PnL
-$36.3
Record
65%
19899-10832 (30731)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$22.64
Value
$22.07
PnL
-$0.57
Record
52%
87214-81389 (168603)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.53
Value
—
PnL
-$5.53
Record
63%
47883-28520 (76403)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$5.95
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$0.12
Record
93%
21625-1687 (23312)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x54f65301...5a7cb0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793030700