Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$47.04
$1.55
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $15.84 | $16 | +$0.16 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $12.36 | $14.04 | +$1.68 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 39.5¢ | $3.95 | $10 | +$6.05 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $2.71 | — | -$2.71 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.41 | — | -$1.41 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
Invested
$15.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.16
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$12.36
Value
$14.04
PnL
+$1.68
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.05
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
—
PnL
-$2.71
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$1.41
Value
—
PnL
-$1.41
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
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