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DownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$87
Combined PnL
$6.68
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$87
Total Shares87
Combined PnL+$17.1
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$10.42
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $40.88 | $50 | +$9.12 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $19.12 | $27 | +$7.88 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $5.08 | — | -$5.08 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $3.19 | — | -$3.19 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$40.88
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.12
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$19.12
Value
$27
PnL
+$7.88
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$5.08
Value
—
PnL
-$5.08
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.19
Value
—
PnL
-$3.19
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85504b2d...543040
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793004900