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wowitsamazingCTR<$100DownUpDownUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$59.57
Combined PnL
-$35.92
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares273
Combined PnL-$57.14
Up3 traders
Total Value$59.57
Total Shares60
Combined PnL+$21.22
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.9¢ | $49.2 | — | -$49.2 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 63.6¢ | $24.3 | $38.18 | +$13.88 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $6.76 | — | -$6.76 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $10.4 | $16.25 | +$5.85 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.16 | — | -$1.16 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $3.65 | $5.14 | +$1.49 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.2
Value
—
PnL
-$49.2
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$24.3
Value
$38.18
PnL
+$13.88
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$6.76
Value
—
PnL
-$6.76
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$10.4
Value
$16.25
PnL
+$5.85
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.16
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
$5.14
PnL
+$1.49
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1915997a...8f7e25
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793004300