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wowitsamazingCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$96.54
Combined PnL
-$8.61
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares132
Combined PnL-$25.33
Down4 traders
Total Value$96.54
Total Shares97
Combined PnL+$16.73
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.8¢ | $28.45 | — | -$28.45 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $38.82 | $44.2 | +$5.38 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $33.19 | $42.34 | +$9.15 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $3.85 | $5 | +$1.15 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $14.56 | — | +$3.12 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$28.45
Value
—
PnL
-$28.45
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$38.82
Value
$44.2
PnL
+$5.38
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$33.19
Value
$42.34
PnL
+$9.15
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.15
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$14.56
Value
—
PnL
+$3.12
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb6f3af75...8bf92e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793001600