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UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$30.63
Combined PnL
-$0.85
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$2.07
Down1 trader
Total Value$30.63
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$1.23
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.22 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $29.4 | $30.63 | +$1.23 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.22
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.4
Value
$30.63
PnL
+$1.23
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c17a9d1...c90d4f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793000700