Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 75%
$111.24
$23.67
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $34.79 | $56 | +$21.21 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.5Β’ | $16.92 | β | -$16.92 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $8.6 | $18.15 | +$10.55 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5Β’ | $0.63 | β | -$0.63 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $2.1 | $6.36 | +$4.26 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $1.85 | $5.61 | +$3.76 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $0.91 | $2.12 | +$1.21 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
Invested
$34.79
Value
$56
PnL
+$21.21
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$16.92
Value
β
PnL
-$16.92
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$18.15
PnL
+$10.55
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
β
PnL
-$0.63
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$6.36
PnL
+$4.26
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
Invested
$1.85
Value
$5.61
PnL
+$3.76
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$0.91
Value
$2.12
PnL
+$1.21
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $56
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $23
aaa221
Down β $18.15

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $6.36
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.61

MayorMamdani
Down β $2.12