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Down
wowitsamazing<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 83%
Total Value
$40.29
Combined PnL
-$9.02
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares90
Combined PnL-$34.96
Up1 trader
Total Value$40.29
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$25.94
Down — 86%Up — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $32.66 | — | -$32.66 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 35.6¢ | $14.35 | $40.29 | +$25.94 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 64% 19321-10933 (30254) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 56% 43221-34515 (77736) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$32.66
Value
—
PnL
-$32.66
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$14.35
Value
$40.29
PnL
+$25.94
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
64%
19321-10933 (30254)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
BO
bosonaCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
56%
43221-34515 (77736)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x022bcd7e...322569
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792996200