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UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 60%
Total Value
$24.1
Combined PnL
-$9.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares140
Combined PnL-$10.51
Down3 traders
Total Value$24.1
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$1.02
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 83% 39878-8374 (48252) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $14.04 | $14.09 | +$0.05 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $8.03 | — | -$8.03 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $11.5 | $0 | +$0.88 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
83%
39878-8374 (48252)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$14.04
Value
$14.09
PnL
+$0.05
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.03
Value
—
PnL
-$8.03
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$11.5
Value
$0
PnL
+$0.88
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc6be67e7...70d710
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792995600