Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 80%
$160.78
-$11.44
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2Β’ | $49.77 | β | -$49.77 | 58% 11711-8321 (20032) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 70.3Β’ | $47.75 | $67.76 | +$20.01 | 58% 16454-12070 (28524) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 66.4Β’ | $24.67 | $37.17 | +$12.5 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $9.54 | β | -$9.54 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $7.88 | $12.31 | +$4.43 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $9.69 | $11.14 | +$1.45 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70.1Β’ | $7.51 | $10.71 | +$3.2 | 66% 98923-50543 (149466) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $4.8 | $8.42 | +$3.62 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $5.81 | $7.26 | +$1.45 | 79% 29830-7781 (37611) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $4.8 | $6 | +$1.2 | 62% 14221-8902 (23123) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.77
Value
β
PnL
-$49.77
Record
58%
11711-8321 (20032)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$47.75
Value
$67.76
PnL
+$20.01
Record
58%
16454-12070 (28524)
Invested
$24.67
Value
$37.17
PnL
+$12.5
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
Invested
$9.54
Value
β
PnL
-$9.54
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
Invested
$7.88
Value
$12.31
PnL
+$4.43
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.69
Value
$11.14
PnL
+$1.45
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
Invested
$7.51
Value
$10.71
PnL
+$3.2
Record
66%
98923-50543 (149466)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$8.42
PnL
+$3.62
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Invested
$5.81
Value
$7.26
PnL
+$1.45
Record
79%
29830-7781 (37611)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.2
Record
62%
14221-8902 (23123)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

wowitsamazing
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $67.76
uninformedfloww
Down β $37.17
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
Down β $12.31

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $11.14
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $10.71
dvasdkasodk
Down β $8.42
asdaefef
Down β $7.26
asidjasiodja
Down β $6