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Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$27.4
Combined PnL
-$7.03
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$27.4
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$10.03
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares37
Combined PnL-$17.06
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $16.15 | $25.18 | +$9.03 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $11.33 | — | -$11.33 | 61% 16961-10856 (27817) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 69% 90359-40826 (131185) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $1.22 | $2.22 | +$1 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $0.79 | — | -$0.79 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$16.15
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$9.03
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$11.33
Value
—
PnL
-$11.33
Record
61%
16961-10856 (27817)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
69%
90359-40826 (131185)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$1.22
Value
$2.22
PnL
+$1
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.79
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x27cf1006...8b01d9
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792986900