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DownDownDownUpUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$29.26
Combined PnL
$0.36
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$29.26
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$1.37
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares12
Combined PnL-$1
Down β 50%Up β 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.8Β’ | $16.53 | $16.07 | -$0.46 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.1Β’ | $11.17 | $12 | +$0.83 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 16Β’ | $0.19 | $1.19 | +$1 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $0.28 | β | -$0.28 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 31Β’ | $0.73 | β | -$0.73 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$16.53
Value
$16.07
PnL
-$0.46
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$11.17
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.83
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
$1.19
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.28
Value
β
PnL
-$0.28
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.73
Value
β
PnL
-$0.73
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x502a70d1...9e2204
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792986000