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UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$6.03
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares124
Combined PnL-$8.58
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$2.55
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $6.3 | — | -$5.1 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.6¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $10.07 | $0 | +$2.55 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$10.07
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.55
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6eee53b3...28564d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792985100