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UpDownDownUpDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$83.44
Combined PnL
$8.01
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$83.44
Total Shares83
Combined PnL+$17.49
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares62
Combined PnL-$9.48
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $45.07 | $59.99 | +$14.92 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 68% 77726-36976 (114702) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $13.37 | $14.3 | +$0.93 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $7.5 | $9.15 | +$1.65 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.13 | — | -$0.13 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$45.07
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$14.92
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
68%
77726-36976 (114702)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$13.37
Value
$14.3
PnL
+$0.93
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
$9.15
PnL
+$1.65
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.13
Value
—
PnL
-$0.13
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8910157f...003af0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792980900