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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 67%

Total Value

$223.45

Combined PnL

$27.75

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$223.45
Total Shares223
Combined PnL+$115.87
Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares286
Combined PnL-$88.12
Down — 38%Up — 62%
wowitsamazing
Down

Invested

$49.9

Value

$169.14

PnL

+$119.24

Record

60%

10605-7189 (17794)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.45

Value

—

PnL

-$6.45

Record

80%

29203-7472 (36675)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$29.1

Value

$30.31

PnL

+$1.21

Record

68%

75669-35734 (111403)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$44.18

Value

—

PnL

-$44.18

Record

88%

48649-6911 (55560)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$19.63

Value

—

PnL

-$19.63

Record

55%

42809-34660 (77469)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$17.95

Value

$14

PnL

-$3.95

Record

76%

24812-7703 (32515)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$11.16

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.16

Record

61%

14030-8793 (22823)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.72

Value

—

PnL

-$5.72

Record

58%

16353-11988 (28341)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.1

Value

—

PnL

-$7.1

Record

56%

40908-32497 (73405)

AL
almachCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.55

Value

—

PnL

-$3.55

Record

55%

39952-33285 (73237)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

63%

19526-11360 (30886)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.14

Value

—

PnL

-$0.14

Record

53%

15155-13652 (28807)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$16.62

Value

$0

PnL

+$0.52

Record

67%

13816-6882 (20698)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x447373c5...e69eb4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792977900

Traders in this Market

wowitsamazing

Down — $169.14

+$119.24
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.45
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $30.31

+$1.21
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$44.18
MO

mo-money

CTR

Up — $0

-$19.63
AS

asdaefef

Down — $14

-$3.95
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $10

-$1.16

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.72
BO

bosona

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.1
AL

almach

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.55
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