Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 60%
$71.18
$1.74
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $23.62 | $27.78 | +$4.46 | 69% 69301-31636 (100937) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $21.44 | $28.4 | +$6.96 | 67% 13585-6747 (20332) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $6.1 | — | -$6.1 | 57% 32459-24910 (57369) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 63% 19213-11248 (30461) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 62% 13897-8696 (22593) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 76% 24294-7616 (31910) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $4.86 | — | -$4.86 | 84% 60686-11900 (72586) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $7.62 | $10 | +$2.38 | 58% 16241-11856 (28097) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.75 | $5 | +$3.25 | 62% 40734-24915 (65649) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 79% 28545-7390 (35935) |
Invested
$23.62
Value
$27.78
PnL
+$4.46
Record
69%
69301-31636 (100937)
Invested
$21.44
Value
$28.4
PnL
+$6.96
Record
67%
13585-6747 (20332)
Invested
$6.1
Value
—
PnL
-$6.1
Record
57%
32459-24910 (57369)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
63%
19213-11248 (30461)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
62%
13897-8696 (22593)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
76%
24294-7616 (31910)
Invested
$4.86
Value
—
PnL
-$4.86
Record
84%
60686-11900 (72586)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.62
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.38
Record
58%
16241-11856 (28097)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.25
Record
62%
40734-24915 (65649)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
79%
28545-7390 (35935)
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