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UpDownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$18
Combined PnL
-$2.61
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$3.99
Down3 traders
Total Value$18
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$1.38
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $3.77 | — | -$3.77 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 62% 13878-8687 (22565) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 69% 69291-31631 (100922) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 58% 16229-11843 (28072) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.77
Value
—
PnL
-$3.77
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
62%
13878-8687 (22565)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
69%
69291-31631 (100922)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
58%
16229-11843 (28072)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x161e13c1...081b6e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792951500