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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 67%

Total Value

$76.95

Combined PnL

$4.39

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders

Total Value$76.95

Total Shares77

Combined PnL+$45.68

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares174

Combined PnL-$41.29

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 39.2¢	$19.33	$49.34	+$30.01	58% 16229-11843 (28072)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$1.87	—	-$1.87	69% 69291-31631 (100922)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 64.5¢	$22.48	—	-$22.48	83% 60158-11892 (72050)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 7.3¢	$2.32	—	-$2.32	76% 24117-7611 (31728)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 7.4¢	$2.15	—	-$2.15	62% 13878-8687 (22565)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 7.6¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	63% 19117-11233 (30350)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 45.4¢	$8.88	$19.56	+$10.68	62% 40698-24908 (65606)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 82.5¢	$10.36	—	-$10.36	67% 13565-6732 (20297)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 38¢	$3.06	$8.06	+$5	58% 11064-8112 (19176)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$19.33

Value

$49.34

PnL

+$30.01

Record

58%

16229-11843 (28072)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$1.87

Value

—

PnL

-$1.87

Record

69%

69291-31631 (100922)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$22.48

Value

—

PnL

-$22.48

Record

83%

60158-11892 (72050)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$2.32

Value

—

PnL

-$2.32

Record

76%

24117-7611 (31728)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$2.15

Value

—

PnL

-$2.15

Record

62%

13878-8687 (22565)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

63%

19117-11233 (30350)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$8.88

Value

$19.56

PnL

+$10.68

Record

62%

40698-24908 (65606)

Invested

$10.36

Value

—

PnL

-$10.36

Record

67%

13565-6732 (20297)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$3.06

Value

$8.06

PnL

+$5

Record

58%

11064-8112 (19176)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x9817989f...31ca9a

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1792950900

Traders in this Market

MayorMamdani

Down — $49.34

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

asdaefef

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $19.56

aaa221

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $8.06

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