Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 78%
$116.36
-$37.36
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $98 | $100 | +$2 | 93% 20315-1632 (21947) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.4¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 84% 60070-11836 (71906) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $16.08 | — | -$16.08 | 76% 24018-7562 (31580) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $14.95 | $16.36 | +$1.42 | 58% 16165-11779 (27944) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $7.61 | — | -$7.61 | 62% 40639-24886 (65525) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 69% 68593-31178 (99771) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $2.52 | — | -$2.52 | 61% 13802-8643 (22445) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $2.22 | — | -$2.22 | 63% 19037-11174 (30211) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 67% 13435-6688 (20123) |
Invested
$98
Value
$100
PnL
+$2
Record
93%
20315-1632 (21947)
Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
84%
60070-11836 (71906)
Invested
$16.08
Value
—
PnL
-$16.08
Record
76%
24018-7562 (31580)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.95
Value
$16.36
PnL
+$1.42
Record
58%
16165-11779 (27944)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.61
Value
—
PnL
-$7.61
Record
62%
40639-24886 (65525)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
69%
68593-31178 (99771)
Invested
$2.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
61%
13802-8643 (22445)
Invested
$2.22
Value
—
PnL
-$2.22
Record
63%
19037-11174 (30211)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
67%
13435-6688 (20123)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.