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Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$38.92
Combined PnL
$12.94
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$17.08
Down4 traders
Total Value$38.92
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$30.01
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $17.08 | — | -$17.08 | 67% 13368-6654 (20022) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 12.7¢ | $1.9 | $15 | +$13.1 | 58% 16129-11743 (27872) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $4.91 | $8.92 | +$4.01 | 83% 59673-11815 (71488) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.05 | $7.5 | +$6.45 | 62% 13762-8615 (22377) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.05 | $7.5 | +$6.45 | 76% 23816-7542 (31358) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$17.08
Value
—
PnL
-$17.08
Record
67%
13368-6654 (20022)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$15
PnL
+$13.1
Record
58%
16129-11743 (27872)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
$8.92
PnL
+$4.01
Record
83%
59673-11815 (71488)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$6.45
Record
62%
13762-8615 (22377)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$6.45
Record
76%
23816-7542 (31358)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6eb04ddf...58e4b5
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792934100