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DownUpDownUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$23.6
Combined PnL
-$1.6
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$23.6
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$1.8
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$3.4
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $17.09 | $16 | -$1.09 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.72 | — | -$1.72 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 58% 10472-7684 (18156) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $1.56 | $2.6 | +$1.04 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$17.09
Value
$16
PnL
-$1.09
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$1.72
Value
—
PnL
-$1.72
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
58%
10472-7684 (18156)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$1.56
Value
$2.6
PnL
+$1.04
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x68c76cad...86006a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792912800