Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 56%
$107.33
-$34.72
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $62.46 | $61 | -$1.46 | 58% 15969-11565 (27534) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.7¢ | $11.74 | — | -$11.74 | 68% 40782-18893 (59675) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $11.56 | $14.17 | +$2.61 | 62% 38200-23710 (61910) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 60.6¢ | $15.44 | — | -$15.44 | 58% 6421-4582 (11003) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $13.73 | $17.69 | +$3.96 | 81% 50447-11707 (62154) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $12.87 | $13 | +$0.13 | 77% 40726-12316 (53042) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $12.74 | — | -$12.74 | 75% 22399-7453 (29852) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 62% 17990-10980 (28970) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $0.47 | $1.47 | +$1 | 56% 31373-24226 (55599) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$62.46
Value
$61
PnL
-$1.46
Record
58%
15969-11565 (27534)
Invested
$11.74
Value
—
PnL
-$11.74
Record
68%
40782-18893 (59675)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.56
Value
$14.17
PnL
+$2.61
Record
62%
38200-23710 (61910)
Invested
$15.44
Value
—
PnL
-$15.44
Record
58%
6421-4582 (11003)
Invested
$13.73
Value
$17.69
PnL
+$3.96
Record
81%
50447-11707 (62154)
Invested
$12.87
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.13
Record
77%
40726-12316 (53042)
Invested
$12.74
Value
—
PnL
-$12.74
Record
75%
22399-7453 (29852)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
62%
17990-10980 (28970)
Invested
$0.47
Value
$1.47
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
31373-24226 (55599)
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