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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Up 60%

Total Value

$105.45

Combined PnL

-$3.41

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders
Total Value$105.45
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$2.7
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$6.12
Down β€” 40%Up β€” 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xe0bbe853...52bc64
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793063700
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