Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$24.3
-$118.1
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $49.99 | — | -$49.99 | 58% 12348-8885 (21233) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $27.36 | — | -$27.36 | 46% 363-418 (781) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $23.68 | — | -$23.68 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $18.53 | — | -$18.53 | 64% 39294-22405 (61699) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $18.46 | — | -$18.46 | 58% 11888-8697 (20585) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 14.5¢ | $2.08 | $14.3 | +$12.22 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $2.3 | $10 | +$7.7 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.99
Value
—
PnL
-$49.99
Record
58%
12348-8885 (21233)
Invested
$27.36
Value
—
PnL
-$27.36
Record
46%
363-418 (781)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$23.68
Value
—
PnL
-$23.68
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$18.53
Value
—
PnL
-$18.53
Record
64%
39294-22405 (61699)
Invested
$18.46
Value
—
PnL
-$18.46
Record
58%
11888-8697 (20585)
Invested
$2.08
Value
$14.3
PnL
+$12.22
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.7
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $14.3
antsaslyku
Up — $10