Back to Markets
DownDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownDownDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$288.44
Combined PnL
$16.46
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 5 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$169.06
Total Shares169
Combined PnL+$16.46
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $102.74 | $119.39 | +$16.65 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 82.3¢ | $98.25 | $119.39 | +$21.13 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 8.2¢ | $4.48 | — | -$4.48 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $41.72 | $50 | +$8.28 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $51.47 | $56.65 | +$5.77 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $36.44 | $38.35 | +$1.91 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $18.81 | $19 | +$0.19 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $4.75 | $5.05 | +$0.3 | 53% 70410-63019 (133429) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$102.74
Value
$119.39
PnL
+$16.65
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Both legs:
Down$98.2582.3¢+$21.13
Up$4.488.2¢-$4.48
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$41.72
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.28
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$51.47
Value
$56.65
PnL
+$5.77
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$36.44
Value
$38.35
PnL
+$1.91
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$18.81
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.19
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.3
Record
53%
70410-63019 (133429)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc82cf373...95b6bd
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793005200