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UpUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$37.13
Combined PnL
-$60.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares85
Combined PnL-$62.11
Down2 traders
Total Value$37.13
Total Shares37
Combined PnL+$2.1
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $39.16 | — | -$39.16 | 56% 34391-26783 (61174) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.3¢ | $6.8 | — | -$6.8 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $25.13 | $27.13 | +$2 | 62% 44360-26695 (71055) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.3¢ | $33.05 | — | -$16.1 | 67% 14190-7009 (21199) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 93% 20886-1673 (22559) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 68% 94633-44122 (138755) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$39.16
Value
—
PnL
-$39.16
Record
56%
34391-26783 (61174)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$6.8
Value
—
PnL
-$6.8
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$25.13
Value
$27.13
PnL
+$2
Record
62%
44360-26695 (71055)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$33.05
Value
—
PnL
-$16.1
Record
67%
14190-7009 (21199)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
93%
20886-1673 (22559)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
68%
94633-44122 (138755)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x812a6dda...72be0d
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1792995300