Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Down 60%
$33.09
-$24.1
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $16.59 | — | -$16.59 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97.1¢ | $14.16 | $14.58 | +$0.42 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $9.8 | — | -$9.8 | 46% 349-402 (751) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $13.5 | $18 | +$4.5 | 88% 52847-6938 (59785) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $0.38 | $0.51 | +$0.13 | 72% 48453-19245 (67698) |
Invested
$16.59
Value
—
PnL
-$16.59
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.16
Value
$14.58
PnL
+$0.42
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
Invested
$9.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
46%
349-402 (751)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$18
PnL
+$4.5
Record
88%
52847-6938 (59785)
Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$0.38
Value
$0.51
PnL
+$0.13
Record
72%
48453-19245 (67698)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $14.58
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $18
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $0.51