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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 80%
Total Value
$15.44
Combined PnL
-$2.89
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$15.44
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.02
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$2.92
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $15 | $15.15 | +$0.15 | 62% 42694-25786 (68480) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 63% 19526-11360 (30886) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.34 | — | -$1.34 | 58% 11123-8150 (19273) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 46% 348-401 (749) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 84% 61854-12050 (73904) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $0.42 | $0.29 | -$0.13 | 67% 13816-6882 (20698) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15
Value
$15.15
PnL
+$0.15
Record
62%
42694-25786 (68480)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
63%
19526-11360 (30886)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
-$1.34
Record
58%
11123-8150 (19273)
0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
46%
348-401 (749)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
84%
61854-12050 (73904)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
$0.29
PnL
-$0.13
Record
67%
13816-6882 (20698)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa4270bae...7343f3
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1792977300