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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$41.31
Combined PnL
-$14.59
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$41.31
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$8.16
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares46
Combined PnL-$6.43
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $40.82 | $31.31 | -$9.51 | 62% 40698-24908 (65606) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.76 | — | -$0.76 | 46% 325-382 (707) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $8.65 | $10 | +$1.35 | 83% 60158-11892 (72050) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.1¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 63% 19117-11233 (30350) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $2.61 | — | -$2.61 | 67% 13565-6732 (20297) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$40.82
Value
$31.31
PnL
-$9.51
Record
62%
40698-24908 (65606)
0X
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100Invested
$0.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.76
Record
46%
325-382 (707)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$8.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.35
Record
83%
60158-11892 (72050)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
63%
19117-11233 (30350)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2.61
Value
—
PnL
-$2.61
Record
67%
13565-6732 (20297)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x108d676e...076468
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1792949400