Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail

12 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold Nauhany Leme Da Silva (60%) · Nauhany Leme Da Silva at 99¢ · $83K held · ends Nov 2

Nauhany Leme Da Silva99¢Despina Papamichail1¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Consensus Traders

Nauhany Leme Da Silva 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$83.1K

Combined PnL

$8.4K

Smart Money Entry

55.8¢ → 98.5¢

+76% since entry · 12 traders

Research grade

NeutralNauhany Leme Da Silva at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

12 of 20 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Nauhany Leme Da Silva99%

Despina Papamichail2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nauhany Leme Da Silva12 traders

Total Value$78.2K

Total Shares85,887

Combined PnL+$8.5K

Despina Papamichail8 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares4,574

Combined PnL-$110.62

Nauhany Leme Da Silva — 60%Despina Papamichail — 40%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on Nauhany Leme Da Silva. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNauhany Leme Da Silva 100% · 1

Aligned

sharpNauhany Leme Da Silva 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrDespina Papamichail 50% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Nauhany Leme Da Silva 60% · 10

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 49.3¢	$15.4K	$30.4K	+$15.0K	59% 43329-29788 (73117)
RN1	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 64.4¢	$26.3K	$22.1K	$-4.1K	54% 54359-46301 (100660)
HV HVAB	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 60.6¢	$23.8K	$11.7K	$-6.0K	76% 548-169 (717)
HO HomeRunHazard	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 49.5¢	$4.9K	$8.3K	+$3.5K	54% 16251-13613 (29864)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 53.6¢	$5.0K	$4.9K	-$69.26	52% 13421-12256 (25677)
CH chiefphiARB<$100	Despina Papamichailavg 73.2¢	$4.4K	$3.2K	$-1.2K	56% 79-61 (140)
└ Nauhany Leme Da Silva leg	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 61.4¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$80
└ Despina Papamichail leg	Despina Papamichailavg 73.2¢	$2.6K	$1.3K	$-1.3K
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Despina Papamichailavg 40.1¢	$358	$504	+$146	51% 1144-1084 (2228)
1L 1lovejumpCTR	Despina Papamichailavg 37¢	$649.66	$483.16	+$126.15	53% 557-501 (1058)
tradecraft	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 63.8¢	$236.48	$283.43	+$46.95	52% 5780-5396 (11176)
MR MrDoucheCTR	Despina Papamichailavg 52¢	$259.99	$179.99	-$80	83% 1670-346 (2016)
GH ghostorderCTR	Despina Papamichailavg 29.9¢	$424.83	$177.75	-$247.07	62% 4206-2592 (6798)
HRTradingCTR	Despina Papamichailavg 38.3¢	$153.28	$143.67	-$9.61	54% 2262-1899 (4161)
LE LeLynxMalynx	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 45.8¢	$89.67	$143.02	+$7.31	57% 27008-20057 (47065)
EF efntrickARB<$100	Despina Papamichailavg 52.1¢	$121.55	$129.4	+$7.85	48% 3586-3838 (7424)
└ Nauhany Leme Da Silva leg	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 35.5¢	$40.8	$73.6	+$32.8
└ Despina Papamichail leg	Despina Papamichailavg 52.1¢	$80.75	$55.8	-$24.95
latvian.demon	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 54.9¢	$100	$116.53	-$9.87	54% 596-512 (1108)
poshposh<$100	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 43¢	$64.5	$96	+$31.5	61% 8819-5730 (14549)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	Despina Papamichailavg 47.9¢	$99.52	$77.81	-$21.71	67% 22791-11234 (34025)
TRCM<$100	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 54.3¢	$41.45	$46.47	+$5.01	55% 3883-3114 (6997)
SC SchruteBucks<$100	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 30.3¢	$88.27	$42.55	+$57.15	56% 1771-1385 (3156)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Despina Papamichailavg 30.3¢	$38.97	$17.38	-$21.59	49% 18204-18601 (36805)
FL flatbarrel<$100	Nauhany Leme Da Silvaavg 27.5¢	$36.11	$3.07	+$30.47	58% 2716-1945 (4661)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Despina Papamichailavg 34.9¢	$4.54	$1.76	-$2.79	59% 29411-20147 (49558)

UpTheBlues

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$15,379.66

Value

$30.4K

PnL

+$15.0K

Record

59%

43329-29788 (73117)

RN1

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$26,264.33

Value

$22.1K

PnL

$-4.1K

Record

54%

54359-46301 (100660)

HVAB

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$23,808.5

Value

$11.7K

PnL

$-6.0K

Record

76%

548-169 (717)

HomeRunHazard

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$4,854.94

Value

$8.3K

PnL

+$3.5K

Record

54%

16251-13613 (29864)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$4,974.33

Value

$4.9K

PnL

-$69.26

Record

52%

13421-12256 (25677)

chiefphiARB<$100

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$4,441.49

Value

$3.2K

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

56%

79-61 (140)

Both legs:

Nauhany Leme Da Silva$1,873.9161.4¢+$80

Despina Papamichail$2,567.5873.2¢$-1.3K

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$358

Value

$504

PnL

+$146

Record

51%

1144-1084 (2228)

1lovejumpCTR

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$649.66

Value

$483.16

PnL

+$126.15

Record

53%

557-501 (1058)

tradecraft

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$236.48

Value

$283.43

PnL

+$46.95

Record

52%

5780-5396 (11176)

MrDoucheCTR

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$259.99

Value

$179.99

PnL

-$80

Record

83%

1670-346 (2016)

ghostorderCTR

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$424.83

Value

$177.75

PnL

-$247.07

Record

62%

4206-2592 (6798)

HRTradingCTR

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$153.28

Value

$143.67

PnL

-$9.61

Record

54%

2262-1899 (4161)

LeLynxMalynx

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$89.67

Value

$143.02

PnL

+$7.31

Record

57%

27008-20057 (47065)

efntrickARB<$100

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$121.55

Value

$129.4

PnL

+$7.85

Record

48%

3586-3838 (7424)

Both legs:

Nauhany Leme Da Silva$40.835.5¢+$32.8

Despina Papamichail$80.7552.1¢-$24.95

latvian.demon

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$100

Value

$116.53

PnL

-$9.87

Record

54%

596-512 (1108)

poshposh<$100

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$64.5

Value

$96

PnL

+$31.5

Record

61%

8819-5730 (14549)

pauleta23CTR<$100

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$99.52

Value

$77.81

PnL

-$21.71

Record

67%

22791-11234 (34025)

TRCM<$100

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$41.45

Value

$46.47

PnL

+$5.01

Record

55%

3883-3114 (6997)

SchruteBucks<$100

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$88.27

Value

$42.55

PnL

+$57.15

Record

56%

1771-1385 (3156)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$38.97

Value

$17.38

PnL

-$21.59

Record

49%

18204-18601 (36805)

flatbarrel<$100

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Invested

$36.11

Value

$3.07

PnL

+$30.47

Record

58%

2716-1945 (4661)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Despina Papamichail

Invested

$4.54

Value

$1.76

PnL

-$2.79

Record

59%

29411-20147 (49558)

Research grade

NeutralNauhany Leme Da Silva at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Nauhany Leme Da Silva

12 of 20 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on Nauhany Leme Da Silva. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNauhany Leme Da Silva 100% · 1

Aligned

sharpNauhany Leme Da Silva 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrDespina Papamichail 50% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Nauhany Leme Da Silva 60% · 10

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Nauhany Leme Da Silva wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.5%

98.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.