Curitiba: Fernanda Labrana vs Gabriela Ce

6 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Gabriela Ce (46%) · Gabriela Ce at 100¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 2

Fernanda Labrana<1¢Gabriela Ce>99¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Gabriela Ce

Consensus Traders

Gabriela Ce 46%

Total Value

$11.1K

Combined PnL

$2.2K

Smart Money Entry

74.6¢ → 99.8¢

+34% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralGabriela Ce at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Gabriela Ce

6 of 13 top traders (46%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Fernanda Labrana0%

Gabriela Ce100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Gabriela Ce6 traders

Total Value$10.7K

Total Shares10,786

Combined PnL+$2.6K

Fernanda Labrana7 traders

Total Value$459.43

Total Shares3,107

Combined PnL-$384.86

Gabriela Ce — 46%Fernanda Labrana — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Gabriela Ceavg 72¢	$6.9K	$9.5K	+$2.6K	60% 39862-26488 (66350)
TH thestingsnake	Gabriela Ceavg 92.5¢	$800.68	$635.76	+$34.26	60% 3813-2585 (6398)
1L 1lovejump	Gabriela Ceavg 98.2¢	$624.58	$545.48	-$34.29	52% 544-494 (1038)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Fernanda Labranaavg 24.8¢	$601.83	$332.6	-$269.23	54% 15474-12956 (28430)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 31¢	$49.29	$34.98	-$14.31	50% 3610-3579 (7189)
RN1CTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 2.8¢	$56.09	$33.7	-$22.39	54% 51866-43791 (95657)
EF efntrickCTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 30.3¢	$29.65	$25.94	-$3.71	48% 3570-3818 (7388)
tradecraft<$100	Gabriela Ceavg 67¢	$19.43	$22.62	+$3.19	52% 5762-5377 (11139)
HRTrading<$100	Gabriela Ceavg 96.2¢	$14.9	$15.29	+$0.39	55% 2163-1776 (3939)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 19¢	$11.21	$12.98	+$1.77	58% 37579-27344 (64923)
PA pauleta23<$100	Gabriela Ceavg 69¢	$10	$11.3	+$1.3	67% 22130-10739 (32869)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 17¢	$86.42	$10.43	-$75.99	53% 13181-11666 (24847)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Fernanda Labranaavg 22¢	$9.8	$8.8	-$1	56% 6695-5367 (12062)

UpTheBlues

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$6,886.97

Value

$9.5K

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

60%

39862-26488 (66350)

thestingsnake

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$800.68

Value

$635.76

PnL

+$34.26

Record

60%

3813-2585 (6398)

1lovejump

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$624.58

Value

$545.48

PnL

-$34.29

Record

52%

544-494 (1038)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$601.83

Value

$332.6

PnL

-$269.23

Record

54%

15474-12956 (28430)

NatoAlfistaCTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$49.29

Value

$34.98

PnL

-$14.31

Record

50%

3610-3579 (7189)

RN1CTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$56.09

Value

$33.7

PnL

-$22.39

Record

54%

51866-43791 (95657)

efntrickCTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$29.65

Value

$25.94

PnL

-$3.71

Record

48%

3570-3818 (7388)

tradecraft<$100

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$19.43

Value

$22.62

PnL

+$3.19

Record

52%

5762-5377 (11139)

HRTrading<$100

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$14.9

Value

$15.29

PnL

+$0.39

Record

55%

2163-1776 (3939)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$11.21

Value

$12.98

PnL

+$1.77

Record

58%

37579-27344 (64923)

pauleta23<$100

Gabriela Ce

Invested

$10

Value

$11.3

PnL

+$1.3

Record

67%

22130-10739 (32869)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$86.42

Value

$10.43

PnL

-$75.99

Record

53%

13181-11666 (24847)

0xheavy888CTR<$100

Fernanda Labrana

Invested

$9.8

Value

$8.8

PnL

-$1

Record

56%

6695-5367 (12062)

Research grade

NeutralGabriela Ce at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Gabriela Ce

6 of 13 top traders (46%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Gabriela Ce wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.