Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Ana Grubor

7 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Selena Janicijevic (88%) · Selena Janicijevic at 99¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 2

Selena Janicijevic99¢Ana Grubor1¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Selena Janicijevic

Consensus Traders

Selena Janicijevic 88%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$64.5

Smart Money Entry

93.8¢ → 99¢

+6% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralSelena Janicijevic at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Selena Janicijevic

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Selena Janicijevic99%

Ana Grubor1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Selena Janicijevic7 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,745

Combined PnL-$48.9

Ana Grubor1 trader

Total Value$5.36

Total Shares536

Combined PnL-$15.6

Selena Janicijevic — 88%Ana Grubor — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Selena Janicijevicavg 94.7¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$57.79	59% 43329-29788 (73117)
TH thestingsnake	Selena Janicijevicavg 90.7¢	$624.49	$667.71	+$43.22	60% 3856-2609 (6465)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Selena Janicijevicavg 97.7¢	$324.64	$324.65	+$0	52% 13421-12256 (25677)
RN1	Selena Janicijevicavg 96.2¢	$113.92	$114.22	+$0.3	54% 54359-46301 (100660)
VeryLucky888	Selena Janicijevicavg 85.9¢	$121.34	$47.82	-$35.51	58% 39668-28654 (68322)
EF efntrick<$100	Selena Janicijevicavg 92.4¢	$32.35	$33.07	+$0.72	48% 3586-3838 (7424)
HRTrading<$100	Selena Janicijevicavg 96.7¢	$8.9	$9.05	+$0.15	54% 2262-1899 (4161)
1L 1lovejumpCTR<$100	Ana Gruboravg 3.6¢	$22.96	$5.36	-$15.6	53% 557-501 (1058)

UpTheBlues

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$1,540.1

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$57.79

Record

59%

43329-29788 (73117)

thestingsnake

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$624.49

Value

$667.71

PnL

+$43.22

Record

60%

3856-2609 (6465)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$324.64

Value

$324.65

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

13421-12256 (25677)

RN1

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$113.92

Value

$114.22

PnL

+$0.3

Record

54%

54359-46301 (100660)

VeryLucky888

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$121.34

Value

$47.82

PnL

-$35.51

Record

58%

39668-28654 (68322)

efntrick<$100

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$32.35

Value

$33.07

PnL

+$0.72

Record

48%

3586-3838 (7424)

HRTrading<$100

Selena Janicijevic

Invested

$8.9

Value

$9.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

54%

2262-1899 (4161)

1lovejumpCTR<$100

Ana Grubor

Invested

$22.96

Value

$5.36

PnL

-$15.6

Record

53%

557-501 (1058)

Research grade

NeutralSelena Janicijevic at 99%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Selena Janicijevic

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Selena Janicijevic wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.