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Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 30
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes18%
No82%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance20.0%
18.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$400.65
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
500.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x6a4a9ec2...4d9f1d
Slug
will-yashar-win-16-18-percent-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections