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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 40%
Total Value
$782.76
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e6d5594...d08a07
Slug
will-united-russia-er-win-50-55-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election