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Yes
balthazar<$100No
clazzy1CTR<$100Yes
Istaroth<$100NoNo
2B9S<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$23
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares100
Combined PnL-$23
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR Arman2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23¢ | $23 | — | -$23 | 56% 292-230 (522) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
clazzy1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 20.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 345-211 (556) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 72.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 76.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
AR
Arman2CTR<$100Invested
$23
Value
—
PnL
-$23
Record
56%
292-230 (522)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
clazzy1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
345-211 (556)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x46fbf895...61d7af
Slug
will-ukmto-publish-8-11-notices-between-october-19-october-25-20261014205307050