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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 75%
Total Value
$7.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x98a64da4...b96140
Slug
will-there-be-at-least-1900-measles-cases-in-the-us-by-april-30-2026-691-752-444