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NoNoYesYes
balthazar<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 26?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$3.7K
Combined PnL
-$50.72
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$3.7K
Total Shares3,700
Combined PnL+$2.82
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9,813
Combined PnL-$53.54
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA Candela | Noavg 99.9¢ | $2.8K | $2.8K | +$2.8 | 97% 293-9 (302) |
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394 | Noavg 88.1¢ | $899.98 | $900 | +$0.02 | 57% 698-522 (1220) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $9.3K | — | -$14.38 | 65% 1516-806 (2322) |
0X 0xDB5CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $39.16 | — | -$39.16 | 56% 1363-1054 (2417) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 18410-11080 (29490) |
CA
CandelaInvested
$2,797.2
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$2.8
Record
97%
293-9 (302)
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394Invested
$899.98
Value
$900
PnL
+$0.02
Record
57%
698-522 (1220)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTRInvested
$9,276.77
Value
—
PnL
-$14.38
Record
65%
1516-806 (2322)
0X
0xDB5CTR<$100Invested
$39.16
Value
—
PnL
-$39.16
Record
56%
1363-1054 (2417)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
18410-11080 (29490)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2fd7b029...3a67fd
Slug
will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-between-2400-2500-on-october-26-2026