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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes26%
No74%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance27.9%
26.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$257.90
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
357.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x85edbecf...35df22
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ny-07-house-election-by-60-65