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NoNo
balthazar<$100No
mrworldwide<$100NoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
NadmiCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 57%
Total Value
$112.41
Combined PnL
-$14.58
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$112.41
Total Shares112
Combined PnL+$12.9
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares375
Combined PnL-$27.48
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ST StraddleSeller<$100 | Noavg 88.4¢ | $33.94 | $38.41 | +$11.26 | 58% 144-105 (249) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $33.9 | $34 | -$0.96 | 66% 4172-2196 (6368) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $19.94 | $20 | +$0 | 64% 12326-6985 (19311) |
mrworldwide<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | $17.4 | $20 | +$2.6 | 67% 676-337 (1013) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.1¢ | $24.4 | — | -$24.4 | 36% 12837-22501 (35338) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 17% 3041-14683 (17724) |
NadmiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 48% 1996-2162 (4158) |
ST
StraddleSeller<$100Invested
$33.94
Value
$38.41
PnL
+$11.26
Record
58%
144-105 (249)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100Invested
$33.9
Value
$34
PnL
-$0.96
Record
66%
4172-2196 (6368)
balthazar<$100Invested
$19.94
Value
$20
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
12326-6985 (19311)
mrworldwide<$100Invested
$17.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.6
Record
67%
676-337 (1013)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
$24.4
Value
—
PnL
-$24.4
Record
36%
12837-22501 (35338)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
17%
3041-14683 (17724)
NadmiCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
48%
1996-2162 (4158)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xba7e7552...3bef7a
Slug
will-sam-chandola-win-the-next-vancouver-yaletown-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election