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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.3%
1.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$4274.33
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4374.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xee58cd1c...c3a6ea
Slug
will-republican-house-incumbents-not-win-in-between-ten-and-twelve-nominating-elections-in-the-2026-cycle