Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 30

Yes37¢No63¢Ends Mon, Nov 30, 2026View on Polymarket

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Consensus Traders

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$75.33

Combined PnL

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes37%

No63%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
IstarothARB<$100	Noavg 67.5¢	$75.69	$75.33	-$0.21	38% 273-442 (715)
└ No leg	Noavg 67.5¢	$50.83	$47.45	-$3.38
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 32.8¢	$24.69	$27.87	+$3.18

IstarothARB<$100

Invested

$75.69

Value

$75.33

PnL

-$0.21

Record

38%

273-442 (715)

Both legs:

No$50.8367.5¢-$3.38

Yes$24.6932.8¢+$3.18

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance39.2%

37.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$155.25

Max Loss

-$100.00

255.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.