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Hannah-MontanaNo
Optimus-CTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$891.59
Combined PnL
$35.64
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$891.59
Total Shares892
Combined PnL+$106.63
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares598
Combined PnL-$70.98
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah-Montana | Noavg 89¢ | $793.88 | $891.59 | +$106.63 | 67% 185-92 (277) |
Optimus-CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $2.31 | — | -$70.98 | 61% 1189-750 (1939) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 3143-6143 (9286) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 2818-1878 (4696) |
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10425-2657 (13082) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
Hannah-MontanaInvested
$793.88
Value
$891.59
PnL
+$106.63
Record
67%
185-92 (277)
Optimus-CTR<$100Invested
$2.31
Value
—
PnL
-$70.98
Record
61%
1189-750 (1939)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
3143-6143 (9286)
SH
shiifooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
2818-1878 (4696)
EL
Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10425-2657 (13082)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb6ae15a0...30ce2c
Slug
will-openrouter-process-less-than-575t-tokens-sep-28-to-oct-25-2026