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KimchiCapitalNoYesYesYesNo
Istaroth<$100NoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$209.28
Combined PnL
-$43.58
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$209.28
Total Shares209
Combined PnL+$98.05
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares316
Combined PnL-$141.63
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KimchiCapital | Noavg 81.1¢ | $111.23 | $209.28 | +$98.05 | 73% 392-143 (535) |
DE dedidancCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.5¢ | $52.16 | — | -$141.63 | 56% 83-64 (147) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 3143-6143 (9286) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 107-107 (214) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 2818-1878 (4696) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 88.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
KimchiCapitalInvested
$111.23
Value
$209.28
PnL
+$98.05
Record
73%
392-143 (535)
DE
dedidancCTR<$100Invested
$52.16
Value
—
PnL
-$141.63
Record
56%
83-64 (147)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
3143-6143 (9286)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
107-107 (214)
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
2818-1878 (4696)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x57063a42...618d03
Slug
will-openrouter-process-less-than-165t-tokens-the-week-of-october-19