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No
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100YesYesNoNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
2B9S<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$592.05
Combined PnL
-$51.52
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$592.05
Total Shares592
Combined PnL+$17.2
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares200
Combined PnL-$68.72
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DE dedidanc | Noavg 66.1¢ | $466.11 | $592.05 | +$17.2 | 56% 83-64 (147) |
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.5¢ | $68.72 | — | -$68.72 | 73% 392-143 (535) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 3143-6143 (9286) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100 | Noavg 67¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 107-107 (214) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Noavg 90.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 60% 2818-1878 (4696) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 71.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 67.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 61.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
DE
dedidancInvested
$466.11
Value
$592.05
PnL
+$17.2
Record
56%
83-64 (147)
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Invested
$68.72
Value
—
PnL
-$68.72
Record
73%
392-143 (535)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
3143-6143 (9286)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
107-107 (214)
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
2818-1878 (4696)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9da1e400...032bce
Slug
will-openrouter-process-between-175t-and-185t-tokens-the-week-of-october-19