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No
balthazar<$100NoNo
Hannah-MontanaCTR<$100Yes
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Optimus-<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$977
Combined PnL
$198.71
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$977
Total Shares977
Combined PnL+$198.71
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DE dedidanc | Noavg 79.6¢ | $788.23 | $977 | +$198.71 | 56% 83-64 (147) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 95.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 3143-6143 (9286) |
Hannah-MontanaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 67% 185-92 (277) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 84.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
Optimus-<$100 | Noavg 66.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 1189-750 (1939) |
DE
dedidancInvested
$788.23
Value
$977
PnL
+$198.71
Record
56%
83-64 (147)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
3143-6143 (9286)
Hannah-MontanaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
185-92 (277)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
Optimus-<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
1189-750 (1939)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf7fda917...3583a5
Slug
will-openrouter-process-at-least-725t-tokens-sep-28-to-oct-25-2026