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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$134.58
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,518
Combined PnL-$134.58
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTR | Yesavg 2.4¢ | $134.58 | — | -$134.58 | 47% 67-77 (144) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 3034-2587 (5621) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 56% 1708-1323 (3031) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
0X
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTRInvested
$134.58
Value
—
PnL
-$134.58
Record
47%
67-77 (144)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
KO
korda77<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3034-2587 (5621)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1708-1323 (3031)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x28e14ea9...19879c
Slug
will-nikolai-denkov-win-the-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-bulgaria-presidential-election