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Relaccsed<$100YesNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNo
Istaroth<$100YesYes
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$22.73
Combined PnL
-$37.6
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$22.73
Total Shares23
Combined PnL+$6.15
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares250
Combined PnL-$43.75
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Relaccsed<$100 | Yesavg 88¢ | $16.58 | $22.73 | +$6.15 | 56% 1156-916 (2072) |
SB sbimbgCTR<$100 | Noavg 23¢ | $43.75 | — | -$43.75 | 66% 2515-1290 (3805) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 15.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 21.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 4992-6879 (11871) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Noavg 28¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4923-4529 (9452) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Yesavg 72.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3382-15511 (18893) |
Relaccsed<$100Invested
$16.58
Value
$22.73
PnL
+$6.15
Record
56%
1156-916 (2072)
SB
sbimbgCTR<$100Invested
$43.75
Value
—
PnL
-$43.75
Record
66%
2515-1290 (3805)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
4992-6879 (11871)
RL
RLWGCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4923-4529 (9452)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3382-15511 (18893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x222449a9...68a2dd
Slug
will-lula-win-the-most-votes-in-the-second-round-of-the-brazil-presidential-election-in-sao-paulo-city